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Table 10 Estimates of Parameters for Lower and Higher Regime SETAR(2,4,4) for CPI

From: Modeling inflation rate factors on present consumption price index in Ethiopia: threshold autoregressive models approach

Variables

Estimate

Std. Error

T-value

P value

Intercept

0.522

0.136

3.827

 < 0.001

lag1-(CPI)

1.093

0.074

14.696

 < 0.001

lag2-( CPI)

−0.861

0.106

−8.051

 < 0.001

lag3-(CPI)

0.706

0.120

5.886

 < 0.001

lag4-( CPI)

−0.128

0.068

−1.880

0.063

Proportion (Low Regime)

 

72.900%

  

Intercept-( CPI)

0.019

0.218

2.252

0.0253

Lag1-( CPI)

1.330

0.071

18.639

 < 0.001

Lag2-( CPI)

−0.351

0.118

-2.968

0.003

Lag3-( CPI)

0.180

0.123

1.466

0.144

Lag4-( CPI)

−0.162

0.078

−2.072

0.039

Proportion (High Regime)

 

27.100%

  

Threshold Value

 

174.300