Table. ARDL bounds cointegration test results | Best ARDL model | F-statistic | Result |
---|---|---|---|
3. FQ (lnQ|lnK, lnL, lnDum1, lnoutflow, \(\ln \left( {{\text{outflow}}*{\text{Dum}}1} \right)\), lnPcrd, lnTrade, Brk) | ARDL(1, 2, 0, 2, 2, 2, 1, 2, 2) | 9.4100a | Co-integration |
Diagnostic test | |||
D–W | 2.00387 | ||
JB- normality test | 2.0348 | [0.36152] | |
LM test | 6.9903 | [0.3550] | |
Het: ARCH | 17.278 | [0.7478] | |
RESET test | 1.7286 | [0.2179] |
Cusum & Cusumsq stable | I(0) Bound | I(1) Bound | |
---|---|---|---|
Critical value bounds (k = 8) | 10% | 1.85 | 2.85 |
5% | 2.11 | 3.15 | |
1% | 2.62 | 3.77 | |
4. FQ (lnQ|lnK, lnL lnDum1, lnoutflow+, lnoutflow−, ln(outflow*Dum1), lnPcrd, lnTrade, Brk) | ARDL(1, 0, 0, 2, 2, 2, 1, 1, 2, 2) | 7.7703a | Cointegration |
Diagnostic test | |||
D–W | 2.1525 | ||
JB- normality test | 2.0348 | [0.3615] | |
LM test | 14.161 | [0.0885] | |
Het: ARCH | 17.278 | [0.7478] | |
RESET test | 19.558 | [0.6106] |
Cusum & Cusumsq stable | I(0) Bound | I(1) Bound | |
---|---|---|---|
Critical value bounds (k = 9) | 10% | 1.8 | 2.8 |
5% | 2.04 | 2.08 | |
1% | 2.5 | 3.68 | |
The model selection ARDL is based on (AIC) | |||
a,b & c indicate level of significance at 1%, 5% and 10% respectively | |||
[30] for sources for critical value |