Table. ARDL bounds cointegration test results | Best ARDL model | F-statistic | Result |
---|---|---|---|
Specifications | ARDL(1, 0, 0, 1, 2, 1, 2, 0,0) | 6.1032a | Cointegration |
1. FQ (lnQ|lnK, lnL, lnDum1, lninflow, \(\ln \left( {{\text{in}} {\text{flow}}*{\text{Dum}}1} \right)\), lnPcrd, lnTrade, Brk) | |||
Diagnostic test | |||
D–W | 2.6319 | ||
JB- normality test | 0.5286 | [0.7677] | |
LM test | 8.1523 | [0.0170] | |
Het: ARCH | 17.493 | [0.2308] | |
RESET test | 0.4703 | [0.5016] |
Cusum & Cusumsq stable | I(0) Bound | I(1) Bound | |
---|---|---|---|
Critical value bounds (k = 8) | 10% | 2.196 | 3.37 |
5% | 2.597 | 3.907 | |
1% | 3.599 | 5.23 | |
2. FQ (lnQ|lnK, lnL lnDum1, lninflow+, lninflow−, ln(inflow*Dum1), lnPcrd, lnTrade, Brk) | ARDL(2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2, 1, 2, 1, 1) | 6.4246a | Cointegration |
Diagnostic test | |||
D–W | 2.524487 | ||
JB- normality test | 0.751 | [0.6869] | |
LM test | 4.2948 | [0.1168] | |
Het: ARCH | 6.189 | [0.9974] | |
RESET test | 1.0474 | [ 0.3248] |
Cusum & Cusumsq stable | I(0) Bound | I(1) Bound | |
---|---|---|---|
Critical value bounds (k = 9) | 10% | 1.8 | 2.8 |
5% | 2.04 | 2.08 | |
1% | 2.5 | 3.68 | |
The model selection ARDL is based on (AIC) | |||
a,b & c indicate level of significance at 1%, 5% and 10% respectively | |||
[30] for sources for critical value |