Skip to main content

Table 2 Pairwise granger causality test

From: Fiscal dominance and exchange rate stability in Nigeria

VAR

Causality

*\(Ho:x \to y\)

Lags

Test statistics

F-statistic

p values

Conclusion

\({\Delta }budg\_def\), \({\Delta }e\), \({\Delta }public\_debt\), \(m2\_growth\), \(\inf r\)

\({\Delta }budg\_def \to {\Delta }e\)

4

7.009*

0.000

Reject

\({\Delta }e \to {\Delta }budg\_def\)

4

4.676*

0.002

Reject

\({\Delta }e \to {\Delta }public\_debt\)

4

1.832

0.126

Fail to reject

\({\Delta }public\_debt \to {\Delta }e\)

4

1.755

0.142

Fail to reject

\({\Delta }budg\_def \to m2\_growth\)

4

0.505

0.732

Fail to reject

\(m2\_growth \to {\Delta }budg\_def\)

4

0.551

0.698

Fail to reject

\({\Delta }public\_debt \to m2\_growth\)

4

1.574

0.185

Fail to reject

\(m2\_growth \to {\Delta }public\_debt\)

4

0.450

0.772

Fail to reject

\(\inf r \to {\Delta }budg\_def\)

4

1.743

0.144

Fail to reject

\({\Delta }budg\_def \to \inf r\)

4

0.361

0.836

Fail to reject

\(\inf r \to {\Delta }public\_debt\)

4

0.907

0.463

Fail to reject

\({\Delta }public\_debt \to \inf r\)

4

1.983

0.101

Fail to reject

  1. *The null hypothesis is that x does not granger cause y, indicated as \(x \to y\). If failed to reject, it means \(x\) does not granger cause \(y\) and if rejected, then it granger causes. *It shows significance at the 1% critical values.