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Table 2 Estimation results from the DCC-GARCH model.

From: Analysis of financial contagion in influential African stock markets

 

Return equation

Variance equation

Persistence

\({\varvec{\gamma}}_{0}\)

\({\varvec{\gamma}}_{1}\)

\({\varvec{\gamma}}_{2}\)

C

A

B

SouthAfrica

1.639***

(5.410)

 − 0.235**

(− 2.240)

0.051

(0.500)

2.029

(1.430)

0.173**

(2.090)

0.707***

(5.440)

0.880

Nigeria

0.716

(1.170)

0.196*

(1.940)

0.209

(1.260)

7.661**

(2.100)

0.177**

(2.210)

0.690***

(7.240)

0.866

Egypt

2.108***

(2.720)

0.093

(0.950)

0.063

(0.310)

30.329

(0.780)

0.065

(0.710)

0.603

(1.250)

0.668

Tunisia

1.187***

(3.680)

0.101

(1.090)

0.029

(0.330)

3.994**

(2.060)

0.191

(1.520)

0.538***

(3.120)

0.730

Kenya

0.679

(1.580)

0.080

(0.670)

 − 0.006

(− 0.040)

21.887

(0.001)

0.366

(0.019)

0.041

(−0.785)

0.407

USA

0.856***

(3.200)

0.035

(− 0.360)

 

0.882

(1.130)

0.244***

(2.590)

0.718***

(6.580)

0.962

  1. Table U.S. represents U.S. stock returns. The persistence level of the variance is calculated as the summation of the coefficients in the variance equations (A + B). The t statistics are in parentheses. ***, **, and * denote statistical significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels with critical values of 2.58, 1.96, and 1.65, respectively