\({\text{Dependent}}\,{\text{variable:}} \log {\text{RGDP}}\) \({\text{Method:}}\,{\text{ARDL}}\) \({\text{Number}}\,{\text{of}}\,{\text{models }}\,{\text{evalulated:}}\, 1458\) \({\text{Selected}}\,{\text{model:}} \,{\text{ARDL}}\left( {1, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2} \right)\) | ||||
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Variable | Coefficient | SE | t statistic | Prob.* |
\(\log {\text{RGDP}}\left( { - 1} \right)\) | 0.476616 | 0.168777 | 2.823938 | 0.0112** |
\(\log {\text{RGCF}}\) | − 0.010106 | 0.060996 | − 0.165688 | 0.8702 |
\(\log {\text{RGCF}}\left( { - 1} \right)\) | − 0.022971 | 0.054456 | − 0.421821 | 0.6782 |
\(\log {\text{RGCF}}\left( { - 2} \right)\) | − 0.196785 | 0.067095 | − 2.932922 | 0.0089* |
\({\text{CPS}} \left( {\% {\text{GDP}}} \right)\) | 0.005711 | 0.006792 | 0.840821 | 0.4115 |
\({\text{TRADE}}\left( {\% {\text{GDP}}} \right)\) | − 0.001128 | 0.001120 | − 1.007096 | 0.3272 |
\(M_{2} \left( {\% {\text{GDP}}} \right)\) | − 0.004978 | 0.006435 | − 0.773634 | 0.4492 |
\(\ln {\text{CPI}}\) | 0.000599 | 0.000585 | 1.024949 | 0.3190 |
\({\text{POPG}}\) | 7.422624 | 2.057226 | 3.608073 | 0.0020* |
\({\text{POPG}}\left( { - 1} \right)\) | − 12.87886 | 3.524206 | − 3.654400 | 0.0018* |
\({\text{POPG}}\left( { - 2} \right)\) | 7.035549 | 1.842623 | 3.818225 | 0.0013* |
\(C\) | 18.28812 | 4.003935 | 4.567537 | 0.0002* |
\(@{\text{TREND}}\) | 0.028699 | 0.005876 | 4.883939 | 0.0001* |
R-squared | 0.993274 | Mean dependent var | 30.92578 | |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.988789 | SD dependent var | 0.455869 | |
F-statistic | 221.4994 | Akaike info criterion | − 2.929006 | |
Prob(F-statistic) | 0.000000 | Schwarz criterion | − 2.327656 | |
Hanna–Quinn criter. | − 2.732981 | Durbin–Watson stat | 2.314653 |